Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2.314357 2.455278 2.603924 2.773017 2.960797 3.163824 3.401131
2026-01-11 2.094710 2.289936 2.506478 2.766753 3.074231 3.429990 3.878951
2026-01-18 1.988825 2.218978 2.483288 2.813772 3.222609 3.721293 4.391480
2026-01-25 2.059697 2.350516 2.697803 3.152386 3.746809 4.521573 5.653259
2026-02-01 1.907470 2.199197 2.553869 3.028233 3.665414 4.524023 5.834335
2026-02-08 1.769807 2.055947 2.408489 2.887715 3.544805 4.453589 5.890194
2026-02-15 1.693613 1.984445 2.348282 2.852273 3.560299 4.570709 6.239191
2026-02-22 1.614703 1.904769 2.272033 2.788468 3.528364 4.611925 6.468731
2026-03-01 1.534469 1.819413 2.183519 2.701476 3.455016 4.581441 6.570674
2026-03-08 1.451770 1.727456 2.081981 2.590401 3.338099 4.472270 6.519447
2026-03-15 1.416682 1.696365 2.060144 2.589498 3.383460 4.620850 6.948581
2026-03-22 1.372536 1.651381 2.017228 2.555595 3.375545 4.681113 7.220984
2026-03-29 1.308384 1.581828 1.943762 2.482518 3.316178 4.673798 7.412162
2026-04-05 1.270091 1.546155 1.916192 2.476231 3.363211 4.857096 8.043212
2026-04-12 1.249951 1.533760 1.919774 2.515486 3.485523 5.188045 9.087986
2026-04-19 1.302602 1.623718 2.073427 2.795638 4.042487 6.438905 12.952420
2026-04-26 1.242668 1.552670 1.988739 2.693345 3.921041 6.315860 13.022704
2026-05-03 1.182530 1.479455 1.898147 2.576976 3.765830 6.104234 12.765766
2026-05-10 1.149604 1.444007 1.862266 2.547523 3.766886 6.228798 13.638575
2026-05-17 1.112442 1.401228 1.813667 2.494397 3.719510 6.240212 14.145231
2026-05-24 1.072226 1.352883 1.755009 2.421748 3.630156 6.146146 14.247474
2026-05-31 1.028611 1.298556 1.685732 2.328614 3.496406 5.937111 13.863759
2026-06-07 1.010777 1.281173 1.671951 2.327855 3.539529 6.146018 15.194639